Union Pacific Corp.
- Price
- 307.32 USD
- Fair value
- 90.16 USD
- Discount to fair value
- −241%
- Mkt cap
- 182.46B
- P/E
- 25.6×
- P/B
- 9.88×
- EV
- 214.02B
- Div yield
- 1.77%
- ROE
- 38.7%
- Net margin
- 29.1%
Current price307.32USD
Fair value (est., median)90.16USD
UndervaluedFair valueOvervalued
+240.9% above fair valueWould need to fall ~70.7% to reach fair value.
Median ofDCF 69.06DDM 72.13Graham 90.16Residual Income 121.32Earnings Power 98.39
Health Check
45.3
Overall / 100
Good (66+)Caution (40–65)Risk (<40)
Rewards
- Strong return on equity (38.7%).
- Attractive, covered dividend (1.77%).
Risks
- Trades 240.9% above estimated fair value.
- Stretched balance sheet / elevated debt.
- Low fair-value confidence — methods disagree or data is thin.
- Expensive on book (P/B 9.9×).
Scores are computed automatically from the real financial statements (Value from fair value; the rest from growth, profitability, balance sheet and dividends). A decision aid, not investment advice.
Price, corporate actions & news
Demo series
D — DividendS — Split▲ good · ▼ bad newstap a marker for details
Growth & profitability
Revenue, net income and margin.
RevenueNet incomeNet margin %tap a bar for figures
Key figures
Covers 19 years · FY2007–FY2025
| Metric | FY'21 | FY'22 | FY'23 | FY'24 | FY'25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 21.80B | 24.88B | 24.12B | 24.25B | 24.51B |
| Net Income | 6.52B | 7.00B | 6.38B | 6.75B | 7.14B |
| Net Margin | 29.9% | 28.1% | 26.4% | 27.8% | 29.1% |
| Operating Cash Flow | 9.03B | 9.36B | 8.38B | 9.35B | 9.29B |
| OCF Margin | 41.4% | 37.6% | 34.7% | 38.5% | 37.9% |
| Capital Expenditure | 2.94B | 3.62B | 3.61B | 3.45B | 3.79B |
| Free Cash Flow | 6.10B | 5.74B | 4.77B | 5.89B | 5.50B |
| FCF Margin | 28.0% | 23.1% | 19.8% | 24.3% | 22.4% |
| FCF Conversion | 93.5% | 82.1% | 74.8% | 87.4% | 77.0% |
| EPS (Diluted) | 10.99/sh | 11.79/sh | 10.74/sh | 11.36/sh | 12.02/sh |
| Dividend / Share | 4.72/sh | 5.32/sh | 5.34/sh | 5.41/sh | 5.45/sh |
Dividend return (if you buy today)if you buy today
Dividend yield1.77%
Dividend / share5.45 USD
If you invest
USD
Shares (≈)32
Est. annual income174.41 USD
At this rate, dividends alone return your capital in ~56.4 years.
Dividend history
Dividend / share & historical yield (USD).
Dividend / share yield %tap a bar for figures
Quarterly dividends & yield
Per-share dividends by quarter, full-year total, and yield on the year's average price · USD
| Year | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Full year | Yield (avg) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | 1.38 | — | — | 1.38 | 0.5% |
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 5.45 | 2.3% |
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | 5.41 | 2.3% |
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | 5.34 | 2.5% |
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | 5.32 | 2.4% |
Corporate actions
DCash Dividend
1.38 USD /sh2026-05-29
DCash Dividend
1.18 USD /sh2021-12-17
DCash Dividend
1.07 USD /sh2021-08-30
DCash Dividend
1.07 USD /sh2021-05-27
DCash Dividend
0.97 USD /sh2021-02-25
DCash Dividend
0.97 USD /sh2020-11-27
DCash Dividend
0.97 USD /sh2020-08-28
DCash Dividend
0.97 USD /sh2020-05-28
DCash Dividend
0.97 USD /sh2020-02-27
DCash Dividend
0.97 USD /sh2019-11-27
Valuation breakdown
Fair value = median of the applicable methods (DCF، DDM، Graham، Residual Income، Earnings Power).
Each method below is a different lens on the same company — no single method dominates the result.
Discounted Cash Flow
Values the company from the future cash it's expected to generate. · Tap to adjust assumptions
69.06 USD
Dividend Discount Model
Values the share from the dividends it's expected to keep paying. · Tap to adjust assumptions
72.13 USD
Graham Number
A conservative benchmark built from earnings and book value. · Tap to adjust assumptions
90.16 USD
Residual Income (justified P/B)
Values the profit the company earns above the cost of its equity. · Tap to adjust assumptions
121.32 USD
Earnings Power Value
Values today's earning power as-is, assuming no growth. · Tap to adjust assumptions
98.39 USD
DCF only is anchored on FY2025 — the latest year with positive cash flow that supports a value. The other methods (DDM, Graham, RIM, EPV) use current / normalized figures.
Fair Value (median)90.16 USD
▸ Show assumptions▾ Assumptions
- Effective discount rate
- 10.78%
- CAPM cost of equity
- 11.81%
- Risk-free rate
- 4.50%
- Equity risk premium
- 7.50%
- DCF growth (stage 1)
- 8.00%
- DCF terminal growth
- 3.00%
- DCF forecast years
- 10
- DDM dividend growth
- 3.00%
Tune these per company in the Hajras Odoo backend; values recompute automatically.
Wealth simulator
What if you'd invested in Union Pacific Corp. regularly?
Starting year
- Invested
- 1K/yr · 42K total(1985 → today · 42 yrs)
- your value today is
- 944.2K USD
- Total return
- +2148.0%(+187.7% Dividends · +1960.3% Capital gain)
- Annualised (IRR)
- +12.3%
Invested42KUSD
Dividends78.8KUSD
Capital gain823.3KUSD
InvestedCapital gainDividendstap a bar for figures
Community Notes0
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