Tesla Inc.
Current price411.15USD
Fair value (est., median)42.5USD
UndervaluedFair valueOvervalued
+867.5% above fair valueWould need to fall ~89.7% to reach fair value.
Health Check
40.9
Overall / 100
Good (66+)Caution (40–65)Risk (<40)
Value0/100
Trades about 867.5% above its estimated fair value.
- Discount to fair value
- -867.5%
- Price to book
- 18.8×
- Fair-value confidence
- —
Future40/100
Modest growth of about 8% a year is expected.
- Forecast growth (rev.)
- 8%
- Revenue CAGR (16y)
- 52.4%
- Earnings CAGR (16y)
- —
Past26.9/100
Patchy track record — earnings have been inconsistent.
- Return on equity
- 4.6%
- Net margin
- 4%
- Earnings CAGR (16y)
- —
- Profitable years
- 6/17
Health96.7/100
Strong balance sheet — cash covers total debt.
- Debt to equity
- 17.9%
- Net debt to equity
- -2.2%
- Cash covers total debt
- Yes
- Free cash flow
- Positive
Dividend0/100
Pays no dividend.
- Dividend yield
- —
Rewards
- Healthy balance sheet.
Risks
- Trades 867.5% above estimated fair value.
- Expensive on book (P/B 18.8×).
Scores are computed automatically from the real financial statements (Value from fair value; the rest from growth, profitability, balance sheet and dividends). A decision aid, not investment advice.
Price, corporate actions & news
Demo series
D — DividendS — Split▲ good · ▼ bad newstap a marker for details
Growth & profitability
Revenue, net income and margin.
RevenueNet incomeNet margin %tap a bar for figures
Key figures
| Metric | FY'21 | FY'22 | FY'23 | FY'24 | FY'25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 53.82B | 81.46B | 96.77B | 97.69B | 94.83B |
| Net Income | 5.52B | 12.57B | 15.00B | 7.11B | 3.79B |
| Net Margin | 10.3% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Operating Cash Flow | 11.50B | 14.72B | 13.26B | 14.92B | 14.75B |
| OCF Margin | 21.4% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 15.6% |
| Capital Expenditure | 6.48B | 7.17B | 8.90B | 11.34B | 8.53B |
| Free Cash Flow | 5.01B | 7.56B | 4.36B | 3.58B | 6.22B |
| FCF Margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% |
| FCF Conversion | 90.9% | 60.1% | 29.1% | 50.4% | 163.9% |
| EPS (Diluted) | 1.47/sh | 3.35/sh | 3.99/sh | 1.89/sh | 1.01/sh |
| Dividend / Share | 0.00/sh | 0.00/sh | 0.00/sh | 0.00/sh | 0.00/sh |
Dividend return (if you buy today)
This company doesn’t currently pay a dividend, so there’s no income return to project. The fair-value gauge above covers the price side.
Dividend history
Dividend / share & historical yield (USD).
No dividend history — this company doesn’t currently pay a dividend.
Corporate actions
SStock Split
3×2022-08-25
SStock Split
5×2020-08-31
Valuation breakdown
Fair value = median of the applicable methods (DCF، Graham).
Discounted Cash Flow
Tap to adjust assumptions
52.29 USD
Dividend Discount Model
Excluded — company pays no dividend
N/A
Graham Number
Tap to adjust assumptions
32.70 USD
Residual Income (justified P/B)
Excluded — needs positive book value
N/A
Earnings Power Value
Excluded — non-positive normalized earnings
N/A
Fair Value (median)42.50 USD
▸ Show assumptions▾ Assumptions
- Effective discount rate
- 15.65%
- CAPM cost of equity
- 15.75%
- Risk-free rate
- 4.50%
- Equity risk premium
- 7.50%
- DCF growth (stage 1)
- 8.00%
- DCF terminal growth
- 3.00%
- DCF forecast years
- 10
- DDM dividend growth
- 3.00%
Tune these per company in the Hajras Odoo backend; values recompute automatically.
Wealth simulator
What if you'd invested in Tesla Inc. regularly?
Starting year
- Invested
- 1K/yr · 17K total(2010 → today · 17 yrs)
- your value today is
- 1.1M USD
- Total return
- +6478.3%(0.0% Dividends · +6478.3% Capital gain)
- Annualised (IRR)
- +42.4%
Invested17KUSD
Dividends0USD
Capital gain1.1MUSD
InvestedCapital gainDividendstap a bar for figures
Community Notes0
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