Tesla Inc.
- Price
- 313.03 USD
- Fair value
- 23.25 USD
- Discount to fair value
- −1246%
- Mkt cap
- 1.18T
- P/E
- 309.9×
- P/B
- 14.31×
- EV
- 1.17T
- ROE
- 4.6%
- Net margin
- 4.0%
Current price313.03USD
Fair value (est., median)23.25USD
UndervaluedFair valueOvervalued
+1246.4% above fair valueWould need to fall ~92.6% to reach fair value.
Median ofDCF 52.5Graham 32.7Residual Income 11.9Earnings Power 13.8
Health Check
40.9
Overall / 100
Good (66+)Caution (40–65)Risk (<40)
Rewards
- Healthy balance sheet.
Risks
- Trades 1246.4% above estimated fair value.
- Low fair-value confidence — methods disagree or data is thin.
- Expensive on book (P/B 14.3×).
Scores are computed automatically from the real financial statements (Value from fair value; the rest from growth, profitability, balance sheet and dividends). A decision aid, not investment advice.
Price, corporate actions & news
Demo series
D — DividendS — Split▲ good · ▼ bad newstap a marker for details
Growth & profitability
Revenue, net income and margin.
RevenueNet incomeNet margin %tap a bar for figures
Key figures
Covers 17 years · FY2009–FY2025
| Metric | FY'21 | FY'22 | FY'23 | FY'24 | FY'25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 53.82B | 81.46B | 96.77B | 97.69B | 94.83B |
| Net Income | 5.52B | 12.57B | 15.00B | 7.11B | 3.79B |
| Net Margin | 10.3% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Operating Cash Flow | 11.50B | 14.72B | 13.26B | 14.92B | 14.75B |
| OCF Margin | 21.4% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 15.6% |
| Capital Expenditure | 6.48B | 7.17B | 8.90B | 11.34B | 8.53B |
| Free Cash Flow | 5.01B | 7.56B | 4.36B | 3.58B | 6.22B |
| FCF Margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% |
| FCF Conversion | 90.9% | 60.1% | 29.1% | 50.4% | 163.9% |
| EPS (Diluted) | 1.47/sh | 3.35/sh | 3.99/sh | 1.89/sh | 1.01/sh |
| Dividend / Share | — | — | — | — | — |
Dividend return (if you buy today)
This company doesn’t currently pay a dividend, so there’s no income return to project. The fair-value gauge above covers the price side.
Dividend history
Dividend / share & historical yield (USD).
No dividend history — this company doesn’t currently pay a dividend.
Corporate actions
SStock Split
3×2022-08-25
SStock Split
5×2020-08-31
Valuation breakdown
Fair value = median of the applicable methods (DCF، Graham، Residual Income، Earnings Power).
Each method below is a different lens on the same company — no single method dominates the result.
Discounted Cash Flow
Values the company from the future cash it's expected to generate. · Tap to adjust assumptions
52.50 USD
Dividend Discount Model
Excluded — company pays no dividend
N/A
Graham Number
A conservative benchmark built from earnings and book value. · Tap to adjust assumptions
32.70 USD
Residual Income (justified P/B)
Values the profit the company earns above the cost of its equity. · Tap to adjust assumptions
11.90 USD
Earnings Power Value
Values today's earning power as-is, assuming no growth. · Tap to adjust assumptions
13.80 USD
DCF only is anchored on FY2025 — the latest year with positive cash flow that supports a value. The other methods (DDM, Graham, RIM, EPV) use current / normalized figures.
Fair Value (median)23.25 USD
▸ Show assumptions▾ Assumptions
- Effective discount rate
- 15.62%
- CAPM cost of equity
- 15.75%
- Risk-free rate
- 4.50%
- Equity risk premium
- 7.50%
- DCF growth (stage 1)
- 8.00%
- DCF terminal growth
- 3.00%
- DCF forecast years
- 10
- DDM dividend growth
- 3.00%
Tune these per company in the Hajras Odoo backend; values recompute automatically.
Wealth simulator
What if you'd invested in Tesla Inc. regularly?
Starting year
- Invested
- 1K/yr · 17K total(2010 → today · 17 yrs)
- your value today is
- 851.4K USD
- Total return
- +4908.4%(0.0% Dividends · +4908.4% Capital gain)
- Annualised (IRR)
- +39.3%
Invested17KUSD
Dividends0USD
Capital gain834.4KUSD
InvestedCapital gainDividendstap a bar for figures
Community Notes0
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