ConocoPhillips
- Price
- 120.26 USD
- Fair value
- 80.56 USD
- Discount to fair value
- −49%
- Mkt cap
- 146.51B
- P/E
- 18.4×
- P/B
- 2.27×
- EV
- 163.46B
- Div yield
- 2.73%
- ROE
- 12.4%
- Net margin
- 14.4%
Current price120.26USD
Fair value (est., median)80.56USD
UndervaluedFair valueOvervalued
+49.3% above fair valueWould need to fall ~33.0% to reach fair value.
Median ofDCF 88.07DDM 41.97Graham 102.6Residual Income 80.56Earnings Power 73.65
Health Check
40.1
Overall / 100
Good (66+)Caution (40–65)Risk (<40)
Rewards
- Attractive, covered dividend (2.73%).
Risks
- Trades 49.3% above estimated fair value.
- Low fair-value confidence — methods disagree or data is thin.
Scores are computed automatically from the real financial statements (Value from fair value; the rest from growth, profitability, balance sheet and dividends). A decision aid, not investment advice.
Price, corporate actions & news
Demo series
D — DividendS — Split▲ good · ▼ bad newstap a marker for details
Growth & profitability
Revenue, net income and margin.
RevenueNet incomeNet margin %tap a bar for figures
Key figures
Covers 19 years · FY2007–FY2025
| Metric | FY'21 | FY'22 | FY'23 | FY'24 | FY'25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 34.59B | 69.77B | 52.33B | 52.08B | 55.38B |
| Net Income | 8.08B | 18.65B | 10.94B | 9.23B | 7.97B |
| Net Margin | 23.4% | 26.7% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 14.4% |
| Operating Cash Flow | 17.00B | 28.31B | 19.96B | 20.12B | 19.80B |
| OCF Margin | 49.1% | 40.6% | 38.2% | 38.6% | 35.7% |
| Capital Expenditure | 5.32B | 10.16B | 11.25B | 12.12B | 12.55B |
| Free Cash Flow | 11.67B | 18.16B | 8.72B | 8.01B | 7.24B |
| FCF Margin | 33.7% | 26.0% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.1% |
| FCF Conversion | 144.5% | 97.3% | 79.7% | 86.7% | 90.8% |
| EPS (Diluted) | 6.63/sh | 15.31/sh | 8.98/sh | 7.58/sh | 6.55/sh |
| Dividend / Share | 1.94/sh | 4.70/sh | 4.58/sh | 2.99/sh | 3.28/sh |
Dividend return (if you buy today)if you buy today
Dividend yield2.73%
Dividend / share3.28 USD
If you invest
USD
Shares (≈)83
Est. annual income272.17 USD
At this rate, dividends alone return your capital in ~36.7 years.
Dividend history
Dividend / share & historical yield (USD).
Dividend / share yield %tap a bar for figures
Quarterly dividends & yield
Per-share dividends by quarter, full-year total, and yield on the year's average price · USD
| Year | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Full year | Yield (avg) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | 0.84 | — | — | 0.84 | 0.7% |
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 3.4% |
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 2.7% |
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 4.1% |
| 2022 | 0.76 | 1.16 | 1.86 | 0.51 | 4.70 | 4.2% |
Corporate actions
DCash Dividend
0.84 USD /sh2026-05-11
DCash Dividend
0.51 USD /sh2022-11-14
DCash Dividend
1.40 USD /sh2022-09-28
DCash Dividend
0.46 USD /sh2022-08-15
DCash Dividend
0.70 USD /sh2022-06-27
DCash Dividend
0.46 USD /sh2022-05-16
DCash Dividend
0.30 USD /sh2022-03-30
DCash Dividend
0.46 USD /sh2022-02-11
DCash Dividend
0.20 USD /sh2021-12-31
DCash Dividend
0.46 USD /sh2021-10-27
Valuation breakdown
Fair value = median of the applicable methods (DCF، DDM، Graham، Residual Income، Earnings Power).
Each method below is a different lens on the same company — no single method dominates the result.
Discounted Cash Flow
Values the company from the future cash it's expected to generate. · Tap to adjust assumptions
88.07 USD
Dividend Discount Model
Values the share from the dividends it's expected to keep paying. · Tap to adjust assumptions
41.97 USD
Graham Number
A conservative benchmark built from earnings and book value. · Tap to adjust assumptions
102.60 USD
Residual Income (justified P/B)
Values the profit the company earns above the cost of its equity. · Tap to adjust assumptions
80.56 USD
Earnings Power Value
Values today's earning power as-is, assuming no growth. · Tap to adjust assumptions
73.65 USD
DCF only is anchored on FY2025 — the latest year with positive cash flow that supports a value. The other methods (DDM, Graham, RIM, EPV) use current / normalized figures.
Fair Value (median)80.56 USD
▸ Show assumptions▾ Assumptions
- Effective discount rate
- 11.05%
- CAPM cost of equity
- 12.00%
- Risk-free rate
- 4.50%
- Equity risk premium
- 7.50%
- DCF growth (stage 1)
- 8.00%
- DCF terminal growth
- 3.00%
- DCF forecast years
- 10
- DDM dividend growth
- 3.00%
Tune these per company in the Hajras Odoo backend; values recompute automatically.
Wealth simulator
What if you'd invested in ConocoPhillips regularly?
Starting year
- Invested
- 1K/yr · 43K total(1984 → today · 43 yrs)
- your value today is
- 387.6K USD
- Total return
- +801.4%(+187.9% Dividends · +613.5% Capital gain)
- Annualised (IRR)
- +10.1%
Invested43KUSD
Dividends80.8KUSD
Capital gain263.8KUSD
InvestedCapital gainDividendstap a bar for figures
Community Notes0
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