Netflix Inc.
Current price81.67USD
Fair value (est., median)48.35USD
UndervaluedFair valueOvervalued
+68.9% above fair valueWould need to fall ~40.8% to reach fair value.
Health Check
62.2
Overall / 100
Good (66+)Caution (40–65)Risk (<40)
Value0/100
Trades about 68.9% above its estimated fair value.
- Discount to fair value
- -68.9%
- Price to book
- 12.92×
- Fair-value confidence
- —
Future70/100
Modest growth of about 8% a year is expected.
- Forecast growth (rev.)
- 8%
- Revenue CAGR (18y)
- 22.3%
- Earnings CAGR (18y)
- 32.8%
Past100/100
High-quality returns — ROE around 41.3%.
- Return on equity
- 41.3%
- Net margin
- 24.3%
- Earnings CAGR (18y)
- 32.8%
- Profitable years
- 19/19
Health78.8/100
Balance sheet is manageable.
- Debt to equity
- 54.3%
- Net debt to equity
- 20.4%
- Cash covers total debt
- No
- Free cash flow
- Positive
Dividend0/100
Pays no dividend.
- Dividend yield
- —
Rewards
- Healthy balance sheet.
- Above-average growth expected.
Risks
- Trades 68.9% above estimated fair value.
- Expensive on book (P/B 12.9×).
Scores are computed automatically from the real financial statements (Value from fair value; the rest from growth, profitability, balance sheet and dividends). A decision aid, not investment advice.
Price, corporate actions & news
Demo series
D — DividendS — Split▲ good · ▼ bad newstap a marker for details
Growth & profitability
Revenue, net income and margin.
RevenueNet incomeNet margin %tap a bar for figures
Key figures
| Metric | FY'21 | FY'22 | FY'23 | FY'24 | FY'25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 29.70B | 31.62B | 33.72B | 39.00B | 45.18B |
| Net Income | 5.12B | 4.49B | 5.41B | 8.71B | 10.98B |
| Net Margin | 17.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 22.3% | 24.3% |
| Operating Cash Flow | 392.61M | 2.03B | 7.27B | 7.36B | 10.15B |
| OCF Margin | 1.3% | 6.4% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 22.5% |
| Capital Expenditure | 524.59M | 407.73M | 348.55M | 439.54M | 688.22M |
| Free Cash Flow | -131.97M | 1.62B | 6.93B | 6.92B | 9.46B |
| FCF Margin | -0.4% | 5.1% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 20.9% |
| FCF Conversion | -2.6% | 36.0% | 128.1% | 79.5% | 86.2% |
| EPS (Diluted) | 1.22/sh | 1.07/sh | 1.28/sh | 2.07/sh | 2.61/sh |
| Dividend / Share | 0.00/sh | 0.00/sh | 0.00/sh | 0.00/sh | 0.00/sh |
Dividend return (if you buy today)
This company doesn’t currently pay a dividend, so there’s no income return to project. The fair-value gauge above covers the price side.
Dividend history
Dividend / share & historical yield (USD).
No dividend history — this company doesn’t currently pay a dividend.
Corporate actions
SStock Split
10×2025-11-17
SStock Split
7×2015-07-15
SStock Split
2×2004-02-12
Valuation breakdown
Fair value = median of the applicable methods (DCF، Graham).
Discounted Cash Flow
Tap to adjust assumptions
77.75 USD
Dividend Discount Model
Excluded — company pays no dividend
N/A
Graham Number
Tap to adjust assumptions
18.94 USD
Residual Income (justified P/B)
Excluded — needs positive book value
N/A
Earnings Power Value
Excluded — non-positive normalized earnings
N/A
Fair Value (median)48.35 USD
▸ Show assumptions▾ Assumptions
- Effective discount rate
- 15.26%
- CAPM cost of equity
- 15.68%
- Risk-free rate
- 4.50%
- Equity risk premium
- 7.50%
- DCF growth (stage 1)
- 8.00%
- DCF terminal growth
- 3.00%
- DCF forecast years
- 10
- DDM dividend growth
- 3.00%
Tune these per company in the Hajras Odoo backend; values recompute automatically.
Wealth simulator
What if you'd invested in Netflix Inc. regularly?
Starting year
- Invested
- 1K/yr · 25K total(2002 → today · 25 yrs)
- your value today is
- 3.5M USD
- Total return
- +13865.6%(0.0% Dividends · +13865.6% Capital gain)
- Annualised (IRR)
- +31.7%
Invested25KUSD
Dividends0USD
Capital gain3.5MUSD
InvestedCapital gainDividendstap a bar for figures
Community Notes0
No notes yet. Be the first to share a thesis.