Southern Province Cementأسمنت الجنوب
- Price
- 20.10 SAR
- Fair value
- 11.91 SAR
- Discount to fair value
- −69%
- Mkt cap
- 2.81B
- P/B
- 0.92×
- EV
- 3.98B
- Div yield
- 3.64%
- ROE
- -1.6%
- Net margin
- -5.6%
Current price20.1SAR
Fair value (est., median)11.91SAR
UndervaluedFair valueOvervalued
+68.8% above fair valueWould need to fall ~40.8% to reach fair value.
Median ofDDM 12.92Graham 23.74Residual Income 6.49Earnings Power 10.9
Health Check
44.6
Overall / 100
Good (66+)Caution (40–65)Risk (<40)
Rewards
—
Risks
- Trades 68.8% above estimated fair value.
- Currently loss-making.
- Stretched balance sheet / elevated debt.
- Low fair-value confidence — methods disagree or data is thin.
Scores are computed automatically from the real financial statements (Value from fair value; the rest from growth, profitability, balance sheet and dividends). A decision aid, not investment advice.
Price, corporate actions & news
Demo series
D — DividendS — Split▲ good · ▼ bad newstap a marker for detailsDemo series
Growth & profitability
Revenue, net income and margin.
RevenueNet incomeNet margin %tap a bar for figures
Key figures
Covers 4 years · FY2022–FY2025
| Metric | FY'22 | FY'23 | FY'24 | FY'25 | TTM'26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.22B | 1.07B | 935.03M | 867.34M | — |
| Net Income | 300.71M | 195.40M | 193.03M | -48.51M | -80.00M |
| Net Margin | 24.6% | 18.3% | 20.6% | -5.6% | — |
| Operating Cash Flow | 320.40M | 316.72M | 165.37M | 41.89M | — |
| OCF Margin | 26.2% | 29.6% | 17.7% | 4.8% | — |
| Capital Expenditure | 148.05M | 266.37M | 446.64M | 658.10M | — |
| Free Cash Flow | 172.36M | 50.34M | -281.27M | -616.22M | — |
| FCF Margin | 14.1% | 4.7% | -30.1% | -71.0% | — |
| FCF Conversion | 57.3% | 25.8% | -145.7% | -1,270.2% | — |
| EPS (Diluted) | 2.15/sh | 1.40/sh | 1.38/sh | -0.35/sh | -0.57/sh |
| Dividend / Share | 2.01/sh | 0.86/sh | 1.37/sh | 0.73/sh | — |
Dividend return (if you buy today)if you buy today
Dividend yield3.64%
Dividend / share0.73
If you invest
Shares (≈)497
Est. annual income363.21
At this rate, dividends alone return your capital in ~27.5 years.
Dividend history
Dividend / share & historical yield (SAR).
Dividend / share yield %tap a bar for figures
Quarterly dividends & yield
Per-share dividends by quarter, full-year total, and yield on the year's average price · SAR
| Year | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Full year | Yield (avg) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | 0.73 | — |
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | 1.37 | — |
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | 0.86 | — |
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | 2.01 | — |
Valuation breakdown
Fair value = median of the applicable methods (DDM، Graham، Residual Income، Earnings Power).
Each method below is a different lens on the same company — no single method dominates the result.
Discounted Cash Flow
Excluded — non-positive free cash flow
N/A
Dividend Discount Model
Values the share from the dividends it's expected to keep paying. · Tap to adjust assumptions
12.92
Graham Number
A conservative benchmark built from earnings and book value. · Tap to adjust assumptions
23.74
Residual Income (justified P/B)
Values the profit the company earns above the cost of its equity. · Tap to adjust assumptions
6.49
Earnings Power Value
Values today's earning power as-is, assuming no growth. · Tap to adjust assumptions
10.90
DCF only is anchored on FY2025 — the latest year with positive cash flow that supports a value. The other methods (DDM, Graham, RIM, EPV) use current / normalized figures.
Fair Value (median)11.91
▸ Show assumptions▾ Assumptions
- Effective discount rate
- 8.83%
- CAPM cost of equity
- 10.50%
- Risk-free rate
- 4.50%
- Equity risk premium
- 6.00%
- DCF growth (stage 1)
- 8.00%
- DCF terminal growth
- 3.00%
- DCF forecast years
- 5
- DDM dividend growth
- 3.00%
Tune these per company in the Hajras Odoo backend; values recompute automatically.
Analyst Price Targets
1 houseHistorical — last published analyst views, not a current target.
Hajras fair value: 11.91
Aljazira Capital
as of 2023-05-22 · Southern Cement Co. - Results Flash Note Q1-23
Hold
58.00
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Wealth simulator
What if you'd invested in Southern Province Cement regularly?
Starting year
- Invested
- 1K/yr · 1K total(2026 → today · 1 yrs)
- your value today is
- 1K SAR
- Total return
- +3.6%(+3.6% Dividends · 0.0% Capital gain)
- Annualised (IRR)
- +8.3%
Invested1KSAR
Dividends36SAR
Capital gain0SAR
InvestedCapital gainDividendstap a bar for figures
Community Notes0
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